Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?
11
Ṁ130Ṁ2762030
19%
chance
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6H
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1M
ALL
Resolves yes if:
1. there is a global ban on AI training runs larger than some threshold
OR
2. AI alignment is solved
OR
3. there is a large decline in humanity's capacity to make GPUs
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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