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MANIFOLD
Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
34
Ṁ1kṀ2.5k
2029
29%
chance

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if any of the following occur before December 31st, 2028:

  • A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee

  • A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in either chamber of Congress

  • A constitutional amendment proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee or chamber

US Politics
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Trump's Second Term
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US Democracy
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bought Ṁ128 YES

For a "conservative" party all about "traditional values" they sure are willing to forsake the Constitution...

@MingCat article about it: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/23/trump-third-term-amendment-constitution-ogles.html

bought Ṁ75 YES

A State might vote on an Amendment for some sort of signal/test of loyalty, even if it has no real effect unless a critical mass of States ratify. I'll bump the probability up a little.

If we're talking about passing the bill, I'd be highly skeptical. But considering the whole vibe with Trump right now, I think bringing it to a vote is very possible.

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