Timeframe: must be said After Market Creation and Before 11.59pm ET November 2 2026.
Resolves YES if a Republican US House or Senate candidate says that President Donald Trump should seek a third term.
The statement must explicitly advocate for Donald Trump to seek a third term, or support a legal/constitutional change (such as repealing or amending the 22nd Amendment) specifically to allow Trump to run for or serve a third term.
It can be said in an advertisement, social media post or when responding to a journalists question (just to name a few ways)
Retweets/sharing news articles doesn’t count. If it’s social media, must be posted like it’s their own words. Resolves yes for a social media post even if it is later claimed it was a ‘staffer’ or a mistake.
A Republican House or Senate candidate is a candidate who appears on the general election ballot as a Republican. Losing Primary candidates or withdrawn candidates do not count. Must be a state of the USA, non voting delegates don’t count.
Ask any clarifications in comments, I won’t bet on this market.
I will try find evidence myself, but if no evidence is presented about 5 days after market closure, resolves NO.