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MANIFOLD
Will a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?
5
Ṁ1kṀ651
Nov 2
51%
chance

Timeframe: must be said After Market Creation and Before 11.59pm ET November 2 2026.

Resolves YES if a Republican US House or Senate candidate says that President Donald Trump should seek a third term.

The statement must explicitly advocate for Donald Trump to seek a third term, or support a legal/constitutional change (such as repealing or amending the 22nd Amendment) specifically to allow Trump to run for or serve a third term.

It can be said in an advertisement, social media post or when responding to a journalists question (just to name a few ways)

Retweets/sharing news articles doesn’t count. If it’s social media, must be posted like it’s their own words. Resolves yes for a social media post even if it is later claimed it was a ‘staffer’ or a mistake.

A Republican House or Senate candidate is a candidate who appears on the general election ballot as a Republican. Losing Primary candidates or withdrawn candidates do not count. Must be a state of the USA, non voting delegates don’t count.

Ask any clarifications in comments, I won’t bet on this market.

I will try find evidence myself, but if no evidence is presented about 5 days after market closure, resolves NO.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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bought Ṁ50 YES

My understanding is there are more than 100 of these people and if you put more than 100 people into a room one of them will say something dumb.