Is Iran a forever war?
28
Ṁ100Ṁ1.7k2027
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES at the end of 2027 if the US military involvement in Iran is significant and in a steady state by then.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
I guess forever here means "end of 2027".
People are also trading
Related questions
How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?
21
Will the current US x Iran ceasefire hold?
77% chance
Will the US-Iran war be over by April 23rd?
11% chance
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
19% chance
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
11% chance
When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
Will America lose its war against Iran?
80% chance
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
23% chance
Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?
5% chance
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
52% chance