When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
23
Ṁ655Ṁ3k2031
99%
2026
25%
2028
25%
2029
24%
2027
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?
1
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
18% chance
When will the conflict between the US Iran come to a pause or end?
5/1/26
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?
37% chance
Is Iran a forever war?
18% chance
When will Iran-US conflict end?
8/15/26
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
19% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
8% chance
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
40% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?
1
Will the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
18% chance
When will the conflict between the US Iran come to a pause or end?
5/1/26
Will the United States lose the war against Iran?
37% chance
Is Iran a forever war?
18% chance
When will Iran-US conflict end?
8/15/26
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
19% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
8% chance
Civil War in Iran in 2026?
40% chance