When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)
23
Ṁ655Ṁ3k2031
99%
2026
25%
2028
25%
2029
24%
2027
Each of these options resolves either: at the end of the year as NO, or YES if the US is at war with Iran at any point during the year.
I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?
41
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
48% chance
Will the US and Iran reach a formal ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2026?
25% chance
Will the US-Iran war be over by April 23rd?
17% chance
Will US and Iranian military forces engage in direct armed combat by end of April 2026?
58% chance
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
6% chance
Will Iran and the US announce a formal diplomatic agreement before August 1, 2026?
66% chance
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
24% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Is Iran a forever war?
27% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?
41
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
48% chance
Will the US and Iran reach a formal ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2026?
25% chance
Will the US-Iran war be over by April 23rd?
17% chance
Will US and Iranian military forces engage in direct armed combat by end of April 2026?
58% chance
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
6% chance
Will Iran and the US announce a formal diplomatic agreement before August 1, 2026?
66% chance
Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?
24% chance
When will the US and China be at war? (Unlinked, permanent)
Is Iran a forever war?
27% chance