Is Iran a forever war? | Manifold

Is Iran a forever war?

28

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2027

30%

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Resolves YES at the end of 2027 if the US military involvement in Iran is significant and in a steady state by then.

Israel-Iran Conflict

Iranian Politics

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bought Ṁ10 YES

moved it up to account for the lack of movement in the past three months. My base rate is closer to 35-40% at this point given that we are nearly halfway there at this stage.

I guess forever here means "end of 2027".

@AlanTennant Dude it's 2026, watching a 3 minute video feels like forever

Attacking so many different surrounding countries at random, somehow in response to their issues with Israel and the USA, none of it is helping.

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Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?

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When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)

When will Iran-US conflict end?

War in Iran goes into Berserk mode before end of 2027?

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?

Related questions

Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?

Will America lose its war against Iran?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

When will the US and Iran be at war? (unlinked, permanent)

When will Iran-US conflict end?

War in Iran goes into Berserk mode before end of 2027?

Will the United States lose the war against Iran?

Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?