Between two weeks and two months after the end of the current conflict, I will create a poll reading as follows:

"In your view, did the United States of America lose its war with Iran? You may define terms as you wish, but two clarifications are important:

1. Iran does not have to have won in order for America to have lost, although Iran's victory or lack thereof may be a factor in consideration.

2. Even if the war was ill conceived or foolish, it is possible to win it, and even if a war is wise or sensible it is possible to lose it. In other words "did America win" is a separate question to "do you think America was right to go to war".

If there is serious argument about whether the war is ended, I will clarify that by poll .

Because this question will be resolved by poll, I am going to trade in this market.