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MANIFOLD
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ70
2029
15%
chance

This market will only resolve no once:

  • the media consensus is that the Iran war is over (not just a ceasefire), OR

  • a temporary ceasefire has gone on for 365 contiguous days.

Otherwise, it will resolve yes when the next Democratic party nominee for President is inaugurated.

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