If the Dems win enough seats in the midterms, will Trump be impeached?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1kJan 1
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2026-01-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market will resolve N/A if Democrats do not win enough seats
"Enough seats" means 2/3 of the House of Representatives
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
67% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
6% chance
Will the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?
2% chance
Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?
65% chance
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
65% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
66% chance
Will Trump be impeached within 3 month after the midterms ?
16% chance
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
65% chance
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
65% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 NO
@Rem How does this market resolve if the Democrats do not win enough seats?
What amount of seats qualifies as enough?
@BlackCrusade it'll be N/A if they dont, and the amnt of seats is the 2/3 requirement of the house of reps
@Rem and this would be by the end of 2026 that they must impeach in order for this market to resolves as YES?
@Rem why 2/3? Only a simple majority is required in the House; a 2/3 majority (of members present) is the Senate requirement for conviction.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
67% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
6% chance
Will the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?
2% chance
Will Trump be impeached again during his second term?
65% chance
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
65% chance
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
66% chance
Will Trump be impeached within 3 month after the midterms ?
16% chance
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
65% chance
Will Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
65% chance