Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
5
Ṁ1kṀ677
2029
55%
>= 222, Impeached
11%
< 222, Impeached
14%
>= 222, Not Impeached
21%
< 222, Not Impeached

This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ39 YES

You can view this market in my conditional markets viewer here. This will let you see implied probabilities like P(impeached | 222+), or place conditional bets or correlation bets.

The UI is a bit cluttered, feedback or suggested changes welcome :)