Will the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
3
Ṁ1kṀ6152029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
59%
>= 222, Impeached
11%
< 222, Impeached
12%
>= 222, Not Impeached
18%
< 222, Not Impeached
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
You can view this market in my conditional markets viewer here. This will let you see implied probabilities like P(impeached | 222+), or place conditional bets or correlation bets.
The UI is a bit cluttered, feedback or suggested changes welcome :)