Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the United States House of Representatives votes to approve at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump during the period beginning November 3, 2026, and ending on February 3, 2027 (inclusive).

If no articles of impeachment are approved by the House of Representatives within this timeframe, the market resolves to NO.

Key parameters:

• Definition of Impeachment: Impeachment is defined as the successful passage of a resolution containing one or more articles of impeachment by a simple majority in the House of Representatives. Removal from office or conviction by the Senate is not required for a YES resolution.

• Relevant Period: Votes occurring between November 3, 2026, and 11:59 PM Eastern Time on February 3, 2027.

• Source of Truth: Official rolls of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives (clerk.house.gov) and consensus reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters).

Background

Donald Trump is currently serving his second term as the 47th President of the United States. The midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, during which control of the House of Representatives and the Senate is contested. Depending on the outcome of these elections, a change in House leadership could result in renewed efforts to initiate impeachment proceedings. Trump was previously impeached twice during his first term (in 2019 and 2021) and acquitted both times by the Senate.

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