What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?
3
90Ṁ65
2027
40%
chance

Question will be resolved according to this dashboard: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/71-607-x/71-607-x2021019-eng.htm, or successor dashboards/Statistics Canada data if the above dashboard no longer works. "Plug in" means battery-electric or plug in hybrid. Will resolve to prob, according to Q4 2026 data. Close date is aiming to be before this dashboard updates with q4 2026 data, but not very much before.

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bought Ṁ15 NO

Put up some limit orders and bet it down to what I think is reasonable.

2023 Q4: 12.3%
2024 Q4: 18.3%

Growth rate ~50% y/y, suggesting a 2025 number of around 27%, and 2026 around 40%, if things keep going as they have been.

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