
Will SpaceX’s next Starship test flight involve a “rapid unscheduled disassembly“?
66
Ṁ1.1kṀ19kresolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is an event (explosion) during the next Starship test flight that a SpaceX spokesperson (Musk, Shotwell, a presenter on their video stream, a PR person quoted by a major media outlet) calls a "rapid unscheduled disassembly". Synonyms for those words (unplanned instead of unscheduled) also count.
The close date is open ended and will be extended if the next flight is delayed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ457 | |
| 2 | Ṁ298 | |
| 3 | Ṁ208 | |
| 4 | Ṁ192 | |
| 5 | Ṁ166 |
Sort by:
You can hear it at the end of this clip by Scott Manley, the voice at the end is from the SpaceX stream.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/7LYw6gU65ac
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
55% chance
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
75% chance
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?