Will SpaceX’s next Starship test flight involve a “rapid unscheduled disassembly“?
66
492
Ṁ19KṀ1.1K
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there is an event (explosion) during the next Starship test flight that a SpaceX spokesperson (Musk, Shotwell, a presenter on their video stream, a PR person quoted by a major media outlet) calls a "rapid unscheduled disassembly". Synonyms for those words (unplanned instead of unscheduled) also count.
The close date is open ended and will be extended if the next flight is delayed.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ457 | |
2 | Ṁ298 | |
3 | Ṁ208 | |
4 | Ṁ192 | |
5 | Ṁ166 |
Sort by:
You can hear it at the end of this clip by Scott Manley, the voice at the end is from the SpaceX stream.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/7LYw6gU65ac
Related questions
Will the next successful crewed landing on the Moon be done in a Starship derived vehicle?
80% chance
Will SpaceX's HLS uncrewed demo launch before 2027?
59% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
27% chance
Will SpaceX attempt a 'catch' with the 'chopsticks' on Starship's sixth 'orbital' test flight?
38% chance
Will SpaceX attempt a 'catch' with the 'chopsticks' on Starship's seventh 'orbital' test flight?
69% chance
Will SpaceX attempt to deploy Starlink satellites in the first fully-orbital Starship–SuperHeavy flight?
70% chance
Will there be two SpaceX Starship–SuperHeavy launches within a single 30 day period in 2024?
23% chance
Will SpaceX achieve a mishap-free Starship flight in 2024?
68% chance
Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
10% chance