Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
5
32
495
2035
96%
>100k in 2028
94%
>100k in 2029
93%
>100k in 2030
93%
>100k in 2031
92%
>100k in 2032
83%
>100k in 2033
77%
>100k in 2034

I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.

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bought Ṁ30 of >100k in 2028 YES

For comparison, the current number is over 600,000, and actually rising in recent years, though significantly down from around a million in 2010.