Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]? | Manifold

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Basic

5

Ṁ554

2035

96%

>100k in 2028

94%

>100k in 2029

93%

>100k in 2030

93%

>100k in 2031

92%

>100k in 2032

83%

>100k in 2033

77%

>100k in 2034

I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.

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1,000

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For comparison, the current number is over 600,000, and actually rising in recent years, though significantly down from around a million in 2010.

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Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

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Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)

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