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MANIFOLD
How many US troops will be officially stationed in Venezuela on the 1st of June 2026?
12
Ṁ1kṀ2k
Jun 2
399 Troops
expected
52%
0
7%
1 - 50
10%
51 - 200
12%
201 - 500
7%
501 - 1000
6%
1001 - 2000
3%
2001 - 5000
2%
5001+

Trump says that the US is "running" Venezuela. To what extent does this imply boots on the ground for the foreseeable?

  • Resolves based on a consensus of credible reports

  • In the absence of exact reporting, resolves to my best judgement based on the available information (I may resolve to %)

  • PMCs don't count, members of any branch of the US armed forces or intelligence agencies do (as long as they are publicly admitted). This includes e.g. secret service members protecting high ranking US officials, generals/admirals on site advising, and soldiers stationed at the embassy in Caracas.

  • Resolution criteria subject to revision/clarifications for the next 7 days.

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