How many celestial objects on a collision course with Earth will be discovered in 2025?
17
6kį¹36kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1 or more
Resolved
NO2 or more
Resolved
NO3 or more
Resolved
NO5 or more
Resolved
NO8 or more
So far, 11 asteroids have been discovered before they impacted Earth, 4 of them in 2024:
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/pi/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predicted_asteroid_impacts_on_Earth
This resolves to the number of such detections in 2025 (UTC); the impact can happen later. Anything coming from beyond Earth's sphere of influence counts (asteroids, comets, interstellar objects, old rocket stages returning from heliocentric orbit...). Groups of objects traveling closely together (e.g. binary asteroids) count only once.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000š Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | į¹2,976 | |
| 2 | į¹619 | |
| 3 | į¹433 | |
| 4 | į¹415 | |
| 5 | į¹253 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026?
How many satellites launched in 2026?
Will asteroid 2024 YR4 have an estimated 50% chance or greater of hitting Earth by December 31, 2026?
1% chance
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
17% chance
If 2024 YR4 is on a collision course with Earth, will it be successfully deflected?
47% chance
How many distinct celestial bodies will be known in Alpha Centauri system in 2030?
Will there be 25 or more people in space orbiting earth at the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
75% chance
Will there be a successful asteroid deflection by 2050?
32% chance