How many celestial objects on a collision course with Earth will be discovered in 2025?
8
3.5kṀ8852026
78%
1 or more
71%
2 or more
66%
3 or more
49%
5 or more
39%
8 or more
So far, 11 asteroids have been discovered before they impacted Earth, 4 of them in 2024:
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/pi/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_predicted_asteroid_impacts_on_Earth
This resolves to the number of such detections in 2025 (UTC); the impact can happen later. Anything coming from beyond Earth's sphere of influence counts (asteroids, comets, interstellar objects, old rocket stages returning from heliocentric orbit...). Groups of objects traveling closely together (e.g. binary asteroids) count only once.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will NASA confirm the discovery of alien before 2026?
7% chance
Will another interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2025 ?
52% chance
Will NASA confirms discovery of aliens in end of 2025 ?
2% chance
Will more than 11k objects be launched into space in 2025?
4% chance
How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will NASA find aliens in 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
21% chance
Will there be ≥15k confirmed exoplanets by EoY 2025?
30% chance
Will a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
11% chance
Will alien life be discovered by end of 2025?
2% chance