Will there be 25 or more people in space orbiting earth at the end of 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ2052027
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
the current record is 19, just set this month
https://www.space.com/new-record-19-people-orbiting-earth-soyuz-iss
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
So that means Virgin Galactic doesn't count.
https://www.space.com/human-spaceflight-record-20-people-in-space-2024
Presumably New Shepherd similarly doesn't count as not in orbit.
Perhaps ought to clarify whether orbit around Moon or on Moon or cislunar orbit count? (Since Artemis III NET Sept 2026.)
Related questions
Related questions
Will we set a new record for number of people in space by mid 2025?
64% chance
Will there be 50 people in space at any moment before 2030?
37% chance
How many objects will be launched into space in 2024?
Will there be a new record for people orbiting earth by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will there be 100 people in space at the same time before 2030?
20% chance
Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050?
43% chance
Will more than 11k objects be launched into space in 2025?
25% chance
Will there be zero people in space for any period of time before 2040?
32% chance
How many people will be in space on 1st January 2025?
2024: Will there be more than 20,000 Objects Launched into Outer Space?
89% chance