Will my coin toss predict the election correctly?
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32
Ṁ5661Jan 1
3%
Heads, correct prediction
3%
Heads, incorrect prediction
48%
Tails, correct prediction
46%
Tails, incorrect prediction
0.4%
Side
Let's face it, the election is still a tossup. I figured this is as valid as any other strategy so on election day at 8am EDT I will toss a coin to predict the election. Heads = Democrat wins the EC, Tails = Republican wins the EC, Side= EC tie and ensuing anarchy. What will be the result of my coin toss and will it predict the election correctly?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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here we go @traders ...my coin toss predicts Donald Trump will be elected president today (or this week/month)
Okay, hear me out. What if "side" IS the correct prediction?
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