Which of these prediction market milestones will happen by Nov. 1st?
Plus
36
Ṁ14kresolved Nov 1
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 70% to win the electoral college
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 80% on any one of the 7 "tossup" states
Resolved
NOKamala leads in any of the 7 tossup states
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 70% or higher odds to win one of PA, MI or WI
Resolved
NOKamala odds of winning NH or VA drop below 78%
Resolved
NOTrump odds of winning Nevada reach 75%+
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 75%+ odds in enough states to win the EC
Resolved
NORepublican odds of winning the House reach 60%
Resolution source is electionbettingodds.com
Each option resolves independently, but the entire market resolves on Nov. 1st 0900 PDT if any options are still alive
Tossup states: PA, MI, WI, GA, NC, AZ, NV
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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