Which of these prediction market milestones will happen by Nov. 1st?
Plus
29
Ṁ7632Nov 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
Trump reaches 70% to win the electoral college
11%
Trump reaches 80% on any one of the 7 "tossup" states
18%
Kamala leads in any of the 7 tossup states
7%
Trump reaches 70% or higher odds to win one of PA, MI or WI
13%
Trump odds of winning Nevada reach 75%+
44%
Kamala odds of winning NH or VA drop below 78%
6%
Trump reaches 75%+ odds in enough states to win the EC
11%
Republican odds of winning the House reach 60%
Resolution source is electionbettingodds.com
Each option resolves independently, but the entire market resolves on Nov. 1st 0900 PDT if any options are still alive
Tossup states: PA, MI, WI, GA, NC, AZ, NC
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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