Which of these prediction market milestones will happen by Nov. 1st?
36
Ṁ2kṀ14kresolved Nov 1
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 70% to win the electoral college
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 80% on any one of the 7 "tossup" states
Resolved
NOKamala leads in any of the 7 tossup states
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 70% or higher odds to win one of PA, MI or WI
Resolved
NOKamala odds of winning NH or VA drop below 78%
Resolved
NOTrump odds of winning Nevada reach 75%+
Resolved
NOTrump reaches 75%+ odds in enough states to win the EC
Resolved
NORepublican odds of winning the House reach 60%
Resolution source is electionbettingodds.com
Each option resolves independently, but the entire market resolves on Nov. 1st 0900 PDT if any options are still alive
Tossup states: PA, MI, WI, GA, NC, AZ, NV
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,392 | |
| 2 | Ṁ412 | |
| 3 | Ṁ229 | |
| 4 | Ṁ148 | |
| 5 | Ṁ115 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Top 1 prediction market by volume in 2026?
Will Prediction Markets be banned before 31 December, 2026?
9% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
78% chance
When will the total market capitalization of prediction markets exceed 1 trillion USD?
Which one is the most enjoyable prediction market? (2026)