Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
61%
chance
May 18, 2025
M$129 bet
More specifically: A) Will they consistently drive other markets (e.g., drug discovery) B) least 20% of randos know what they are
ian

Ian bought M$20 of YES15 days ago

big timeline energy
TristanRoberts

Tristan Roberts 15 days ago

both A AND B must be true. I will sample the randos personally from a place that is NOT twitter.
Undox

Undox 15 days ago

Hold on, aren't we technically the 'randos'?
Austin

Austin 15 days ago

Is it "YES iff A and B" or "YES iff A or B"? (Also: does sports/horse betting count for knowing about prediction markets? if so, B is much easier)