If we survive general artificial intelligence before 2100, what will be the reason?
5
100Ṁ602100
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
28%
We don't build AGI
25%
We build AGI, but it is not powerful enough to kill us
32%
We build AGI, it is powerful enough to kill us, but it doesn't try
15%
Other
This market is an approximate duplicate of these markets, but I am trying to do something more systematic :
- https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence#q040uk3r5bg
- https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
- https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence-539844cd3ba1?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ
Related markets :
- Why don't build AGI ? https://manifold.markets/dionisos/we-dont-build-agi-before-2100-what
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If humanity is still alive in 2035, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
Why did we survive AI until 2100?
If AI causes human extinction before 2100, how will it happen
Will AI cause human extinction before 2100 (and how)?
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
If humanity survives to 2100, what will experts believe was the correct level of AI risk for us to assess in 2023?
38% chance
Will humanity wipe out superintelligent AI before 2040?
15% chance