If we survive general artificial intelligence before 2100, what will be the reason?
5
100Ṁ602100
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
28%
We don't build AGI
25%
We build AGI, but it is not powerful enough to kill us
32%
We build AGI, it is powerful enough to kill us, but it doesn't try
15%
Other
This market is an approximate duplicate of these markets, but I am trying to do something more systematic :
- https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence#q040uk3r5bg
- https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/if-we-survive-general-artificial-in
- https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence-539844cd3ba1?r=RWxpZXplcll1ZGtvd3NreQ
Related markets :
- Why don't build AGI ? https://manifold.markets/dionisos/we-dont-build-agi-before-2100-what
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