If we don't build AGI before 2100, what will be the reason ?
Basic
1
Ṁ102100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
15%
It is impossible to build AGI
24%
It is possible to build AGI, but we will not be able to do it before 2100
62%
We would be able to build AGI before 2100, but we do not try
The main market : https://manifold.markets/dionisos/if-we-survive-general-artificial-in-z3suausl60
(I want to had other sub-markets like that, but I want to wait to see what people are thinking about it first)
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
53% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
66% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
62% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
44% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2040?
74% chance