Me, or someone inheriting this question will poll people on this question in 2100 and resolve any answer to the proportion that people on the poll answered "yes".

I'll give you 5~100 manifold bucks if you post another good possible answer in the comments.

The question about the polled being a person is there to control for scenarios where something weird happened during the passing down of the responsibility of resolving this question.

Sorry to non-humans that between now and 2100 join human discourse. I'll edit the term "humanity" when I find a nonconfusing term encapsulating the group of all nearby moral patients.

Huh, another AGI survival prediction market?

Yes, this one is not a "pick one from many" but just a collection of yes/no questions, which I think is more informative.
- By Isaac King
- By Yudkowsky
- By Yudkowsky's community