Please answer as you would for the question "will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100".

If your answer is "no", choose "will not cause extinction"

If your answer is "yes", please try to identify which of the following scenarios will be the "main" cause for human extinction:

Foom: rapidly self-improving AI destroys humanity as a result of pursuing some misaligned goal

Terminator: AI blatantly disregards human instructions and pursues its own goals.

Alignment Failure: AI appears superficially good but causes extinction due to a subtly mis-stated goal.

AI Race: A race between two competing AI labs or countries to "control the future light cone" leads to the extinction of humanity

Vulnerable World Hypothesis: AI allows the creation of new Weapons of Mass Destruction which are used by an individual (or small group) to destroy the world.

Economic Competition: AI takes all human jobs and property causing humans to die out

Gradual Replacement: AI and humans merge into a post-human species that replaces humanity causing human extinction (however you define that)

Other: substantially different in some way from the above (please comment)

Because of the nature of the question, it is unlikely that you will live to collect your winnings. Please bet in the spirit of accuracy and not with the intention to confuse or misinform.

PS. this is the order I will resolve answers in. So if AI is both misaligned and fooms, I will resolve in favor of foom.