What’s the score after move 8? [oracle for Manifold Plays Chess 3]
3
5
90
resolved Mar 23
Resolved as
76%

Resolves PROB to ROUND(score,2) (i.e. closest percent) after move 8 of the Manifold Plays Chess 3rd iteration. If the game ends before that move, this market resolves the same as the main game market: /harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch

The score after any move is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the winning conditional market for that move.

Free response market to promote candidates for move 8:

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-move-8-what

Conditional markets for move 8 candidates, which will determine this market's resolution (higher average value 4-8 pm EDT tomorrow March 22):

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-8

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-8-f4b1bbafa6c8

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-8-e70dac2a22c9

Last move 7. Rg1, score 0.305003

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-7-af2ca0bd13c3

Will advance or delay the closing date as needed, based on the expected resolution of the related markets. See more details and rules for the overall game structure here:

Other moves score oracles:

/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-9-oracle

/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-10-oracl

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES

8.Bb5 won, score 0.758468

Resolves to PROB=76%