What’s the score after move 10? [oracle for Manifold Plays Chess 3]
6
resolved Mar 27
Resolved as
65%

Resolves PROB to ROUND(score,2) (i.e. closest percent) after move 10 of the Manifold Plays Chess 3rd iteration. If the game ends before that move, this market resolves the same as the main game market: /harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch

The score after any move is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the winning conditional market for that move.

Free response market to promote candidates for move 10:

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-move-10-what

Conditional markets for move 10 candidates, which will determine this market's resolution (higher average value 4-8am EDT tomorrow March 27):

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-1-ca33ec4c67de

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-1-b218f9f148fa

Last move 9.Bxc6+, score 0.643476

/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-9

Will advance or delay the closing date as needed, based on the expected resolution of the related markets. See more details and rules for the overall game structure here:

Other moves score oracles:

This the last I'll make, but will link here if anyone makes more. Thanks all!

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deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted YES at 65%

10.Qxf3 won, score 0.652004

Resolves to PROB=65%

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted NO at 41%

Simplified description better aligns with the title and avoids the issue of the underlying potentially changing its resolution criteria, as described here: https://manifold.markets/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-7-oracle#HdIwMxyeWssvauybYaZ0