Resolves PROB to ROUND(score,2) (i.e. closest percent) after move 10 of the Manifold Plays Chess 3rd iteration. If the game ends before that move, this market resolves the same as the main game market: /harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch
The score after any move is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the winning conditional market for that move.
Free response market to promote candidates for move 10:
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-move-10-what
Conditional markets for move 10 candidates, which will determine this market's resolution (higher average value 4-8am EDT tomorrow March 27):
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-1-ca33ec4c67de
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-1-b218f9f148fa
Last move 9.Bxc6+, score 0.643476
/harfe/manifold-plays-chess-3-if-we-play-9
Will advance or delay the closing date as needed, based on the expected resolution of the related markets. See more details and rules for the overall game structure here:
Other moves score oracles:
This the last I'll make, but will link here if anyone makes more. Thanks all!
Simplified description better aligns with the title and avoids the issue of the underlying potentially changing its resolution criteria, as described here: https://manifold.markets/deagol/whats-the-score-after-move-7-oracle#HdIwMxyeWssvauybYaZ0