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closes in 10 hours
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 7. Rg1, what is the score after move 8?

Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP.

The game so far: 1.e4 e5 2. Bc4 Nf6 3. Nc3 Nc6 4. Nf3 Nxe4 5. Nxe4 d5 6. Bd3 dxe4

The other candidate move is 7. Bxe4

The conditional market for the other move is here:

If the value (averaged over the last 4 hours before close) of this market is higher than in the other market, then this market resolves PROB to the score after move 8. Otherwise, it resolves N/A. The score after move 8 is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the conditional market of the winning move in move 8.

Note that when the game ends, the score will be 1.0 - #moves x 0.0004 if white wins, 0.5 - #moves x 0.0002 if its a draw, or 0.0 if we lose.

More details for the overall game here:


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