Resolves PROB to ROUND(score,2) (i.e. closest percent) after move 6 of the Manifold Plays Chess 3rd iteration. If the game ends before that move, this market resolves the same as the main game market: Will white win in Manifold Plays Chess, part 3?YES‌

The score after any move is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the winning conditional market for that move.

Free response market to promote candidates for move 6:

[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 6: What will white play?‌

Conditional markets for move 6 candidates, which will determine this market's resolution (higher average value from noon to 4 pm EDT tomorrow March 18):

[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 6. Bd3, what is the score after move 7?30%‌

[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 6. Qe2, what is the score after move 7?N/A‌

[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we resign in move 6, what is the score after move 7?N/A‌

Last move 5. Nxe4, score 0.668309

[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 5. Nxe4, what is the score after move 6?66%‌

Will advance or delay the closing date as needed, based on the expected resolution of the related markets. See more details and rules for the overall game structure here:

Other moves score oracles:

What’s the score after move 7? [oracle for Manifold Plays Chess 3]31%‌

What’s the score after move 8? [oracle for Manifold Plays Chess 3]76%‌

What’s the score after move 10? [oracle for Manifold Plays Chess 3]65%‌