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I resolved YES.

What I actually meant when I wrote the question was something like "Will @firstuserhere walk more than 90,000 steps in a single day, but no more than 100,000 steps in a single day, in 2023?". In which case it wouldn't resolve YES unless he fails to walk 100k steps from now - and we'd have to wait until EOY to know for sure.

I didn't realise at the time that a different interpretation to what I intended was more obvious, but can see in hindsight that that is definitely the case.

It seems likely that zero people interpreted the question the way I intended at the time they made their bets, which means I can safely resolve YES without violating expectations, so that's what I'm doing. And there's no point making a followup market with what I intended, since the main market is now equivalent to that.

Next time I'll try include some extra text to say what I'm going for to try to ensure traders and I are on the same page about what the market is about lol.

Resolves YES

Before I resolve, is there anyone who interpreted the resolution criteria as meaning "will the maximum number of steps FUH will take in a day by EOY be between 90k and 100k"?

@chrisjbillington https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-firstuserhere-walk-100000-step#TWDdi1Z8j3OKJOIed0he

resolves YES

If he gets to 90k with anything close to enough time left, I think he will reach 100k. It’s only 10k more

@dominic Looks like he is going to be hitting 90k with a shade under 2 hours left, I think it's gonna be tight.

Well today's 50k came in at 47k, which is in the range of 90-99%. If today's attempt is anything to go by, 1 out of 1 cases, 90k steps seems pretty likely.