Resolves to my assessment of the evidence as provided by @firstuserhere in the context of his markets on walking a large number of steps in in a single calendar day in 2023, or N/A if no conclusion can be reasonably reached. I won't bet in this market.
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| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ240 | |
| 2 | Ṁ150 | |
| 3 | Ṁ143 | |
| 4 | Ṁ73 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
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I resolved YES.
What I actually meant when I wrote the question was something like "Will @firstuserhere walk more than 90,000 steps in a single day, but no more than 100,000 steps in a single day, in 2023?". In which case it wouldn't resolve YES unless he fails to walk 100k steps from now - and we'd have to wait until EOY to know for sure.
I didn't realise at the time that a different interpretation to what I intended was more obvious, but can see in hindsight that that is definitely the case.
It seems likely that zero people interpreted the question the way I intended at the time they made their bets, which means I can safely resolve YES without violating expectations, so that's what I'm doing. And there's no point making a followup market with what I intended, since the main market is now equivalent to that.
Next time I'll try include some extra text to say what I'm going for to try to ensure traders and I are on the same page about what the market is about lol.
Before I resolve, is there anyone who interpreted the resolution criteria as meaning "will the maximum number of steps FUH will take in a day by EOY be between 90k and 100k"?
@dominic Looks like he is going to be hitting 90k with a shade under 2 hours left, I think it's gonna be tight.