This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
This market will be resolved as YES if there are 9 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 9 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
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Other questions on this topic
2023
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved YES)
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved YES)
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2023? (resolved NO)
2024
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved YES)
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved YES)
Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2024? (resolved NO)
2025
Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved YES)
Will 2 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved YES)
Will 3 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 4 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 5 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 6 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
Will 10 or more US banks fail in 2025? (resolved NO)
2026
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026? (this question)
1,000