Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
10
77
Ṁ106Ṁ230
2030
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Going by Wikipedia. Will resolve no if, for example, it says "Hamas was" or describes it as a political organization but not a military one, or if Hamas is pushed out of Israel Palestine completely. As always, please feel free to ask any clarifying questions. If they change their name, that alone doesn't make them stop existing. If Israel takes more territory, I'll consider that part of it.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Israel win against Hamas ?
40% chance
Will the IDF kill more of Hamas's recently taken hostages than Hamas does? [Ṁ1000 Subsidy]
63% chance
By 2025, will Israel claim that Hamas is no longer active in the Gaza Strip?
31% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
59% chance
Will the IDF continue occupying Gaza and killing civilians in 2024?
50% chance
Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?
65% chance
Will Hamas still be in power in Gaza on Cinco de Mayo 2025?
69% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
30% chance
When will the current Israel-Hamas War end?