Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
42
1.8kṀ66882032
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mar 10, 1:36pm: Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people? → Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?
37% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?
7% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
41% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
42% chance
Will there be another major pandemic before the end of 2030
41% chance
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
41% chance
Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?
29% chance
Will a pandemic kill >75% of the peak pre-pandemic world population before 2100?
9% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
61% chance