Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
10
170Ṁ4582026
7%
chance
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Will be resolved if more than 1000 cases of a previously unknown pathogen are recorded occur on every continent, excluding Antarctica.
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@ahalekelly I think a good guideline is at least as novel as the COVID-19 coronavirus was when it emerged in 2020.
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