Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?

10

170Ṁ458

2026

7%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will be resolved if more than 1000 cases of a previously unknown pathogen are recorded occur on every continent, excluding Antarctica.

Natural Sciences

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