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Will Keir Starmer be on the ballot in the next Labour leadership election?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ183
Dec 31
37%
chance

This market will resolve when the UK Labour Party holds its next leadership election, and I can figure out who is on the ballot. I'm trying to get at whether Starmer will contest a leadership challenge without getting bogged down by details of procedure.

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Another way to put this is that I'm trying to get at whether Starmer will fight a challenge to the end, in the colloquial meaning of the word challenge (rather than it's formal meaning within the Labour Party rules)

Another way to put this is that I'm trying to get at whether Starmer will fight a challenge to the end, in the colloquial meaning of the word challenge (rather than it's formal meaning within the Labour Party rules)