Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
1
Ṁ700Ṁ220Nov 28
30.6 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
Below 25%
12%
25 - 26.99999%
12%
27 - 28.99999%
19%
29 - 30.99999%
17%
31 - 32.99999%
15%
33 - 34.99999%
15%
35% or above
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the combined primary (first preference) vote share proportion won by the Liberal Party and the National Party in the Victorian Legislative Assembly (Lower House) at the next Victorian state election scheduled for 28 November 2026.
The resolution source will be the final, official overall Lower House summary published by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC).
As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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