Background

The two-party-preferred count is the number of votes received by the Labor Party and the Liberal-National Coalition after preferences have been distributed. It is the headline figure of most opinion polls in Australia.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the party or coalition that, according to the Victorian Electoral Commission, wins a majority of the two-party-preferred vote at the 2026 general election for the Legislative Assembly in Victoria.

Further information

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.