Greens primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
1
Ṁ700Ṁ310Dec 15
15.3 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Below 10%
11%
10 - 11.99999%
16%
12 - 13.99999%
25%
14 - 15.99999%
21%
16 - 17.99999%
16%
18 - 19.99999%
6%
20% or above
This market resolves to the primary (first preference) vote share proportion won by the Greens in the Victorian Legislative Assembly (Lower House) at the next Victorian state election scheduled for 28 November 2026.
The resolution source will be the final, official overall Lower House summary published by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC).
As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
One Nation primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
23.7
Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
31.4
Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?
2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner
Labor primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election
25.2
The Premier of Victoria will be from which Part(ies) after the 2026 state election?
What combination of parties will form executive government after the 2026 Victorian state election?
Who will win the 2026 Botany electorate election?
Victorian State Election 2026: Number of Seats won by One Nation
Will Jess Wilson become Premier of Victoria after the 28 November 2026 state election?
84% chance