What will be my ">=10 M$ impact factor" on Manifold Markets at time of market close?
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แน603resolved Jun 11
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13This is the "impact factor" as defined in scientific publishing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impact_factor
Define my ">=10 M$ impact factor" on Manifold Market as the biggest integer N such that I have created at least N markets, each of which had at least N bets of size at least 10 M$ submitted by people who are not me. This includes both open and closed markets at time of close of this market.
For example, if I've created 20 markets, and on each of these markets, there have been 5 bets of size >= 10 M$ placed by people who aren't me, my ">=10 M$ impact factor" is 5.
I will resolve this market to my ">=10 M$ impact factor" as of market close time.
This is an experiment in trying to incentivize people to trade on markets for questions I'd like answered.
May 19, 2:52pm: See also: https://manifold.markets/agentydragon/will-at-least-10-of-my-markets-get
May 19, 2:55pm: Having had a brief look at my markets, my current ">=10 M$ impact factor" seems to be either 3 or 4. Too lazy to precisely look up. Might write a script for this later.
May 19, 9:52pm: the metric I'm basing this on might actually be called h-index, not Impact factor.
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