Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
28
113
แน688แน550
2028
61%
chance
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1M
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The accounts cannot be owned by a person who works for the corporation - the corporation itself must own the account.
This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years). The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold accounts really are the entities they purport to be.
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