![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F_TRn4M0OY1.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dc82dfedd-7255-4657-848a-61da35a4ea89&w=3840&q=75)
Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Basic
29
Ṁ7052028
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The accounts cannot be owned by a person who works for the corporation - the corporation itself must own the account.
This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years). The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold accounts really are the entities they purport to be.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
39% chance
Will Manifold be profitable before 2030?
49% chance
How many Manifold markets will be created in 2024?
Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030?
21% chance
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
38% chance
Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
40% chance
Will Erik Hoel create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
64% chance
Will Stefan Schubert create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
70% chance
Will the Atlantic create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
21% chance