How many US Supreme Court justices will there be in 2025?
28
1kṀ19432026
1.9%
92%
9
3%
8
0.2%
7
0.9%
13
0.2%
0
0.8%
10
1.3%
11
I'll resolve according to the number of current justices listed at resolution time on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will the Supreme Court decide 75 or more cases in 2025?
10% chance
Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2025?
9% chance
Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?
3% chance
Will the US supreme court contain more than 9 justices before 2030?
13% chance
Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2025?
23% chance
Will there be more than 9 Justices in the US Supreme Court on Jan 1, 2030?
13% chance
How many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the next presidential term?
How many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?
12% chance