MANIFOLD
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
5
Ṁ225Ṁ595
2027
24%
Clarence Thomas
17%
Samuel Alito
11%
Elena Kagan
11%
Neil Gorsuch
9%
John Roberts
9%
Sonia Sotomayor
4%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
3%
Brett Kavanaugh
3%
Amy Coney Barrett

This question resolves YES to every above-listed Justice who resigns, dies, or for any other reason officially ceases to be a member of the Supreme Court of the United States before the end of 2026 (otherwise resolving NO on 1 Jan 2027; if no Justice ceases to be a member, then all options resolve NO).

The Justices, in-order of time on the court, along with their ages and the party that appointed them:

  • Clarence Thomas (76, Republican)

  • John Roberts (70, Republican)

  • Samuel Alito (75, Republican)

  • Sonia Sotomayor (70, Democrat)

  • Elena Kagan (65, Democrat)

  • Neil Gorsuch (57, Republican)

  • Brett Kavanaugh (60, Republican)

  • Amy Coney Barrett (53, Republican)

  • Ketanji Brown Jackson (54, Democrat)


Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?

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