Which party will win the second Clacton by-election from now?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the second Clacton by-election held between 8 July 2026 and the date of the next general election.

If no such by-election takes place, this market will be voided.

Clarifications

The close date may be changed as necessary.

To bet on the result of the first by-election, see this market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/a_l_e_x/which-party-will-win-the-clacton-by)To bet on whether there will be a second by-election, see this market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/a_l_e_x/if-nigel-farage-wins-the-clacton-by)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Reform UK, followed by Restore Britain and Conservative are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Jul 8, 2026).

Resolution criteria

Clarifications

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