If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
14
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k2027
53%
chance
12
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and a successful recall petition forces him to vacate the seat again before the next general election for the House of Commons.
This market will resolve NO if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and he is not recalled before the next general election for the House of Commons.
This market will be voided if Nigel Farage does not win the Clacton by-election.
Clarifications
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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