Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

Question

Resolution criterion

This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the upcoming Clacton by-election.

Clarifications

The close date may be changed as necessary.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Reform UK, followed by Conservative and Labour are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of Jul 7, 2026).

Resolution criterion

Clarifications

Related questions