Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

Question

Resolution criterion

This market will resolve to the party whose candidate is elected at the upcoming Clacton by-election.

Clarifications

The close date may be changed as necessary.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Reform UK, followed by Reclaim and Other are most likely. See the market for live updates (15 traders, as of Jul 8, 2026).