Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
26
Ṁ1kṀ2.3kDec 31
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
63% chance
Nigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
21% chance
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?
92% chance
If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
37% chance
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
70% chance
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
92% chance
If Farage loses the 2026 Clacton by-election, will the PM after the next general election be Reform?
29% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?
11% chance
Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?
53% chance