Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
10
100Ṁ539
2029
94%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nigel Farage is alive on the date of the next UK general election. It will resolve to "No" if he is deceased by that date. The next UK general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

Nigel Farage, born on 3 April 1964, is a British politician and broadcaster. He has been a prominent figure in UK politics, notably serving as the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP) and later as the leader of Reform UK. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

As of 1 June 2025, Nigel Farage is 61 years old. The next UK general election is scheduled to occur by 15 August 2029, at which point he will be 65 years old. Farage smokes and drinks, has severe back injuries from a 2010 plane crash, and has a removed left testicle due to cancer.

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