Will the best LLM in 2026 have <500 billion parameters?

Plus

15

Ṁ1952026

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conversational LLM

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and3.00

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will the best LLM in 2024 have <1 trillion parameters?

26% chance

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <500 billion parameters?

25% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <1 trillion parameters?

28% chance

Will the best LLM in 2025 have <1 trillion parameters?

38% chance

Will the best LLM in 2026 have <1 trillion parameters?

44% chance

Will the best LLM in 2024 have <500 billion parameters?

15% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <500 billion parameters?

14% chance

Will the best LLM in 2027 have <250 billion parameters?

12% chance

When will the first quadrillion parameter LLM be made?

Will a 15 billion parameter LLM match or outperform GPT4 in 2024?

24% chance